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DTSTART;VALUE=DATE:20260305
DTEND;VALUE=DATE:20260306
DTSTAMP:20260310T120617Z
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LAST-MODIFIED:20260310T120617Z
UID:137751-1772668800-1772755199@www.a3veen.nl
SUMMARY:Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence - publication
DESCRIPTION:The rapid diffusion of AI is generating a wave of research measuring and forecasting its impacts on labor markets. \nBut the track record of past approaches gives reason for humility. For example\, a prominent attempt to measure job offshorability identified roughly a quarter of US jobs as vulnerable\, but a decade on\, most of those jobs maintained healthy employment growth. The government’s own occupational growth forecasts\, while directionally correct\, have added little predictive value beyond linear extrapolation of past trends. Even in hindsight\, the impact of major economic disruptions on the labor market is often unclear. Studies on the employment effects of industrial robots reach opposing conclusions\, and the scale of job losses attributed to the China trade shock continues to be debated. In the paper ‘Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence‘\, a new framework for understanding AI’s labor market impacts is presented\, and is tested against early data\, finding limited evidence that AI has affected employment to date. Our goal is to establish an approach for measuring how AI is affecting employment\, and to revisit these analyses periodically. This approach won’t capture every channel through which AI could reshape the labor market\, but by laying this groundwork now\, before meaningful effects have emerged\, we hope future findings will more reliably identify economic disruption than post-hoc analyses.It is possible that the impacts of AI will be unmistakable. This framework is most useful when the effects are ambiguous—and could help identify the most vulnerable jobs before displacement is visible. \nLinks:\nLabor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence
URL:https://www.a3veen.nl/event/labor-market-impacts-of-ai-a-new-measure-and-early-evidence-publication/
CATEGORIES:AI,IT
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